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Independents make their mark in Deuba’s home turf

As general elections are approaching nearer, the electorate in the province is grappling with several questions especially related to tardy economic growth…writes Santosh Ghimire

 A sense of frustration is brewing in Sudurpaschim Province, the home turf of Nepal Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba, where the youth, disenchanted with traditional political parties, is looking at independent candidates as drivers for change.

Formed in September 2015 after Nepal’s new constitution was promulgated, the border province shares its frontiers with China to the north, Karnali and Lumbini Provinces to the east. India’s Kumaon falls to the west and Uttar Pradesh to the south.

Politically too, the outcome of the results in the November 20 polls in the province can change the complexion of the government at the centre. Sixteen seats are up for grabs under the first past and post electoral system. Eight seats will be contested under the proportional electoral system in federal parliament. The provincial assembly has 52 seats of which 32 are under the proportional electoral system.

The province has been a bastion of the key political parties including the Congress. But, the number of independent candidates has grown sharply in recent years. At least over a dozen independents have fielded candidacies only in Kailali-5 for federal assembly polls. There are also independent candidates in the fray for provincial assembly polls in the same constituency.

Tharu, an indigenous tribe, has a sizable population in the province, leading most all parties to get on their side, Tharu voters who can make a huge impact in election outcomes, observers said.

Sudurpaschim is a home province of Nepal’s Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba. His home constituency is Dadeldhura. He won general elections at least four times from the same constituency in the past three decades. This time also he is an election candidate from the same area.

Rallies and campaigns have intensified across the province ahead of the crucial elections that are being held for the second time after the country promulgated its first federal republican constitution in 2015. The first such elections happened in 2017.

Local political observers and media people from the province, with whom the India Narrative spoke to also expressed their frustration about the slow pace of development.

As general elections are approaching nearer, the electorate in the province is grappling with several questions especially related to tardy economic growth.

“I have watched the performance of all the political parties in recent years and found no substantive difference. Development works in our part are taking place at a very snail pace, it takes years to complete the construction of a bridge,” Ganesh Bista, an auto-rickshaw driver who lives in Mohanpur, Dhangadhi, told India Narrative on Saturday. In his opinion, all the major parties seem to have abandoned whatever guiding political ideology they had.

“I see their focus is just on winning elections, forming the government, enriching their party and leaders, and prolonging the life of their government. The common people like us are not their priority at all,” he said, venting ire on traditional parties. The man accused the political parties of doing nothing other than earning money and grabbing power. “I feel that all political leaders and their parties are the same. Their interest is in nothing other than money and power,” he said.



As traditional parties are losing faith in the public, there could be good prospects for independent candidates. Recent local elections held in May have also pointed to this budding trend. Gopal Hamal, an independent candidate, won the mayoral race in the local elections in Dhangadhi sub-metropolitan city, which is also the capital of Sudurpaschim Province.

“Hamal is now earning praise for various initiatives that he took in recent times including the widening of roads and managing the city’s drainage system,” Ram Prasad Joshi, a local resident of Saraswatinagar, told India Narrative.

The perception of the aforementioned auto-rickshaw driver and a local resident, of course, can’t represent the feelings of all voters in the province. But observers agree that the public trust in political parties has declined sharply for several reasons.

“It’s true that public trust in political parties has deteriorated because they have failed to live up to their promises that made in previous elections. Political party leaders come to meet people just ahead of elections for nothing other than seeking votes. This sort of tendency has invited frustration among the voters,” Prakash Bhatta, a social worker-turned businessman based in Dhangadhi, told India Narrative.

He said that the province is also detached from the federal capital Kathmandu, emotionally, geographically and politically.

“People feel that there is no direct link between them and Kathmandu. That means political parties are Kathmandu-centric and doing very little to their well-being,” Bhatta, who also contested general elections in the past, said.


Good prospect for independents

He sees good prospect for independent candidates in future elections. “More independent candidates will emerge victorious in local, provincial assembly and federal elections if traditional parties don’t introspect and work in meeting people’s aspirations as per the changed context,” Bhatta added.

Youths say there is a choice if the upcoming election is used as an opportunity to upend the hegemony of the major parties and usher in a new era in the political development.

“We are not happy with the political culture of these traditional parties. Its high time we young men and women formed new parties and challenged the older parties, thus providing an alternative to voting for the major parties’ yes men,” Bimal Regmi, a 27-year-old youth from Purnarbas, told India Narrative.

Deuba, Oli visit Sudurpaschim

As part of his election campaign, PM Deuba, along with his wife Arzu, reached his constituency Dadeldhura on Saturday. In the photo that Deuba shared on Twitter, he was seen greeted by hundreds of his party leaders and cadres.

KP Sharma Oli, leader of the CPN (UML), the main opposition, who is also former prime minister, on Friday, launched his election campaign from Darchula, a district in Sudurpaschim Province. Oli was also seen greeted by hundreds of his party leaders and cadres when he addressed rallies.

In their election rallies in Dadeldhura and Darchula, Deuba and Oli both vaguely said they would bring socio-economic transformation of the country if they regained power through upcoming polls.

As the Deuba and Oli visited Sudurpaschim Province, youths looked at them with suspicion. The similarity between the two top leaders was that both of them claimed to settle a boundary row with India through diplomatic talks if they made a comeback through upcoming elections.

(Santosh Ghimire is India Narrative’s Nepal correspondent. He is currently reporting from the India-Nepal border on the upcoming November 20 elections)

(The content is being carried under an arrangement with indianarrative.com)

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Deuba’s India visit to open new chapter in ties

Deuba also proposes to visit Varanasi, where several Nepali Congress leaders had been to in the past during the struggle to establish democracy in Nepal. The timing of the visit is also significant…reports Asian Lite News

 An old friend of India, Sher Bahadur Deuba is visiting India on his first official visit after becoming Prime Minister in July 2021. The three-day visit comes in the aftermath of some bitterness in bilateral relations, particularly under the government of K.P. Oli.

The reset in relations is a function of history as India-Nepal ties have stood the test of time, therefore this short trip could provide the necessary impetus. The Nepalese Prime Minister is travelling at the invitation of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and expectations are that both countries will agree upon several pacts relating to connectivity and electricity.

Additionally, both Prime Ministers are expected to inaugurate (online) the Kurtha-Jayanagar railway connectivity project. All in all, this visit is appropriately slated to intensify exchanges.

The positive signals coming from the Deuba government suggest that Nepal seeks greater Indian involvement in development of several sectors. Healthcare is one such area of cooperation.

It is anticipated that an MoU on rebuilding 137 Health Posts with financial assistance from India announced in the aftermath of the 2015 earthquake will be announced during the visit.

Some announcements are likely to be made on connectivity, energy trading and railway. Notably, Deuba had visited India in each of his four earlier stints as prime minister of Nepal.

His last visit to India in his capacity as prime minister was in 2017.

Deuba also proposes to visit Varanasi, where several Nepali Congress leaders had been to in the past during the struggle to establish democracy in Nepal. The timing of the visit is also significant.

Bilateral relations particularly from the perspective of high-level exchanges and contacts have been at a low for some time now. The last visit was by Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli in April 2018, soon after assuming office.

Covid-19 also created complications in the relationship, in part, due to the unwarranted remarks by former Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli on the pandemic and the Kalapani issue.

PM Deuba had wanted to visit India during the Vibrant Gujarat summit, but the event was postponed on account of Covid-19.

The context for the present visit goes beyond merely an official one with a state visit tag. Nepal’s Prime Minister is accompanied by his wife Arzu Deuba, who is well known for her work with NGOs.

It is expected that a high-level delegation will accompany the Nepalese Prime Minister. Kathmandu Post reports that an agreement that is expected to be signed is on energy trading between Nepal and India.

Nepal sees the potential of surplus power during the wet season, and is looking for a market to sell electricity.

Ultimately, Nepal-India relations need to move forward politically. This is the task of the leadership of both countries. Mechanisms to enhance cooperation already exist, the issue is getting them to deliver on existing agreements and pacts.

The element of trust and willingness to resolve bilateral differences, like say on the border, will be crucial to continue the fostering of ties. Even here, the issues are not insurmountable.

Mutual recognition of each other’s security interests is a pre-requisite to take this process forward. High level contact is a part of relationship between India and Nepal. For instance, in November 2021 both leaders met in Glasgow, Scotland, on the sidelines of the UN Climate Conference.

They had, as per official sources, “fruitful talks” and Deuba thanked India for providing support to Nepal in essential medical supplies and vaccines in its fight against Covid-19 pandemic.

Other formal contacts have been regular since mid-2021. Soon after Deuba took over, Vijay Chauthaiwale, the BJP’s Foreign Affairs Department head, visited Nepal.

In return, a three-member Nationalist Congress delegation visited New Delhi in October.

The delegation met with India’s External Affairs Minister Dr. S. Jaishankar and BJP President J.P. Nadda. In November, Nepal’s Army Chief General Prabhu Ram Sharma came on a four-day visit and was conferred with the honorary rank of General of the Indian Army by President Ram Nath Kovind.

The current visit is thus a continuation of the long established practice of regular exchanges. Thus, the scope for improvement in ties undoubtedly exists, but with elections round the corner in Nepal in end-2022, one expects limited progress on major issues like the border.

However, as recent initiatives have shown, it is possible for India to drive development assistance to benefit the Nepalese people and become a major feel good factor in relations.

The example of the railway project connecting Kurtha and Jayanagar is a telling illustration of this type of assistance. India has offered to assist Nepal in any way required.

In the recent past, Kathmandu has tried to balance ties between India and China. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s recent visit (March 25) to Nepal soon after his India visit was necessitated by Nepal signing the Millennium Challenge Corporation compact with the US.

However, the real issues for India relating to Nepal have to do with development and connectivity. Unlike China, which is only interested in extracting its pound of flesh, India has invested in Nepal’s development through the years.

The interdependence is built on the foundations of a solid people-to-people relations and a development partnership that has stood the test of time. The visit therefore, comes at a time when both sides have to take up the task of resetting ties, not so much as to make any mid-course corrections, but return to the traditional warmth in relations.

The groundwork for this has been done. Political will and direction could provide the underpinning for this renewed vigour.

While the economic relationship undoubtedly forms the base, newer initiatives relating to security and defence could be explored in depth during PM Deuba’s visit. This will strengthen the relationship.

The overall matrix of ties is solid. The emotive link that India has with the Gurkhas who have served in the Indian Army provides a natural reason for beginning a new chapter by creating an initiative that will create further employment and generate mutual goodwill.

It is hoped that the Nepal’s Prime Minister visit will open a new chapter in ties.

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Nepal PM to meet Modi in Delhi on 2 April

In July 2021, when Deuba came to power as Nepal PM for the fifth time, India was one of the first countries to congratulate him…reports Asian Lite News

During a three-day visit to India next month, Nepal Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba will hold talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi at a bilateral meeting on 2 April. Both sides are expected to review the India-Nepal Friendship Treaty of 1950, even as New Delhi will be looking at boosting connectivity, keeping in mind China’s growing inroads there.

This will be Deuba’s maiden visit to India since assuming charge in 2021. He has previously served four times as prime minister of Nepal. He last visited India as Nepal’s PM in 2017.

During the much-awaited bilateral meeting, Nepal is expected to raise the issue of reviewing the India-Nepal Friendship Treaty of 1950 — a long-pending demand by Kathmandu — in order to “even out the bilateral ties”, as well as take them to the “next level of strategic partnership”, sources told ThePrint.

The decision to review the treaty was taken jointly by both countries during PM Modi’s first visit to Nepal after taking charge in August 2014. However, since then there has been no progress in the matter. The issue took a backseat subsequently with the Madhesi agitation of 2015, even as Nepal went through political turmoil domestically that continued till last year.

Ties between India and Nepal took a nosedive in 2020 when Kathmandu, then under former prime minister KPS Oli, unilaterally changed Nepal’s political map by including some disputed areas — Kalapani, Lipulekh and Limpiyadhura — with India as part of their territory. India has since rejected the map.

According to the sources, the border issue will feature prominently during the talks. Both sides may agree to finally activate the foreign secretary-level talks mechanism to kickstart the process of settling the border issue.

The two countries have institutionalised home secretary-level meetings and established the Joint Working Group on Border Management (JWG) and Border District Coordination Committees (BDCCs).

In November 2021, Modi and Deuba had met in Glasgow, UK, on the sidelines of the COP26 summit and vowed to strengthen ties between the two.

In July 2021, when Deuba came to power as Nepal PM for the fifth time, India was one of the first countries to congratulate him.

During his India trip, Deuba will also be visiting Varanasi in light of the religious connection between both countries’ Hindu and Buddhist communities.

As Nepal looks towards a higher growth trajectory post the coming in of Deuba, who is expected to bring political stability in the Himalayan nation, it is hoping to rely on India to give a further push to the development of connectivity projects there.

For New Delhi, another source told ThePrint, this visit is expected to give India the necessary legroom it needs to announce more connectivity projects over and above the existing ones.

This is of huge importance to the Modi government because China has started making heavy inroads there even as Beijing has promised several key connectivity projects there under its Belt and Road Initiative, to which Nepal is a signatory.

India has been developing connectivity projects in Nepal, including cross-border railway links, electrification projects and several roads and bridges. However, Nepal has been upset at the slower pace of these projects, and would want New Delhi to expedite those, sources said.

During his first visit to Kathmandu in 2014, Modi had pushed for the decade-old Indo-Nepal Pancheshwar Dam project on the Mahakali river. However, the project again got stuck as issues regarding the detailed project report (DPR) remained unresolved.

Foreign Minister of China Wang Yi met Deuba on Saturday. During the visit, both sides signed nine agreements on the development of projects, including a cross-border railway connection, a power grid project, and trade and commerce among others.

This comes in the wake of Nepal giving the green signal to the United States’ Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) — under which it is to receive financial aid for building infrastructure and improving national highways — earlier this month, which has upset China.

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Deuba to visit Varanasi during India visit

This will be his first visit to India after becoming Prime Minister of the Himalayan nation in July 2021, reports Asian Lite News

Nepalese Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba will visit Varanasi during his official visit to India from April 1 to 3.

As per the itinerary, he will meet Prime Minister Narendra Modi on April 2.

This will be his first visit to India after becoming Prime Minister of the Himalayan nation in July 2021. He has visited India in each of his four earlier stints as PM. His last visit to India was in 2017.

This visit is a part of the tradition of periodic high-level exchanges between the two countries. It would give an opportunity to both sides to review the entire gamut of bilateral relations including development and economic partnership, trade, cooperation in the health sector, power, connectivity, people to people links and other issues of mutual interest.

Prime Minister, Narendra Modi meeting the Prime Minister of Nepal, Shri Sher Bahadur Deuba, in Glasgow, Scotland on November 02, 2021.

This comes after Chinese Foreign Minister and State Councilor Wang Yi’s conclusion of his three-day visit to Nepal.

Wang’s Nepal visit comes in the backdrop of Nepal ratifying the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) compact, a grant of USD 500 million developmental assistance from the US to Kathmandu, seen as a setback for China.

The Chinese official, associated with China’s diplomatic corps in Kathmandu, said that in the lead up to the compact’s endorsement, there was a lack of coordination among the Chinese agencies handling Nepal. Speaking on the condition of anonymity, he also said the communication gap between Beijing and the Chinese Embassy was also growing, according to the Annapurna Express article.

Nepal’s federal parliament did ratify the compact, as the Americans wished, but in the run-up to ratification, Beijing tried hard to stop it.

It sees the USD 500 million development grant to Nepal as a part of America’s strategy to encircle China, the article noted. (ANI)

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Deuba fails to expand his Cabinet

As per the Constitutional provisions, he can’t expand the Cabinet beyond 25 members…reports Asian Lite News

One week after he was sworn-in as the Prime Minister of Nepal, Sher Bahadur Deuba, who’s also the President of Nepali Congress, has failed to give full shape to his Cabinet.

Deuba, who was backed by his own party Nepali Congress, Nepal Communist Party (Maoist Centre), Janata Samajbadi Party, Janamorcha Nepal, 22 lawmakers belonging to the opposition, and Nepal Communist Party-UML, is struggling to expand his five-member Cabinet.

On July 13, Deuba, after being sworn-in as the Prime Minister, had formed a five-member Cabinet. Now there is pressure on him to expand it, but due to large number of aspirants for ministerial posts, he is increasingly feeling the heat and struggling to decide whom to accommodate and whom to not.

As per the Constitutional provisions, he can’t expand the Cabinet beyond 25 members.

The Maoist Centre, a key alliance of Nepali Congress, on Wednesday decided to chart out a common minimum programme and policy between the alliance partners to successfully run the government.

A task force of the alliance partners will chart out such common minimum programmes and policies, party spokesperson Narayan Kaji Shrestha said.

“The Standing Committee meeting of the party didn’t discuss joining the Deuba government. We will discuss with the other alliance partners before joining the government,” said Shrestha.

Another alliance, Janata Samajbadi Party (JSP), is a divided house. The party is divided into two factions, one led by Upendra Yadav and another by Mahantha Thakur. Known as the Madhesi party, the JSP has 32 lawmakers in the 275-member House.

Earlier, the Thakur faction had secured the majority and joined the KP Sharma Oli government while the Yadav faction stayed in the opposition. After Oli’s government was toppled by the Supreme Court and Deuba became the Prime Minister after court overturned Oli’s decision to dissolve the house on May 21, the Yadav faction became stronger and secured the majority inside the party after several lawmakers switched sides.

After the Thakur faction joined the previous Oli government, the warring factions of the party had approached the Election Commission claiming authenticity. The case is under consideration of the poll panel.

After Deuba sought a vote of confidence on Sunday, the Thakur faction plunged into minority and decided to vote for Deuba. On Wednesday, Deuba met Thakur and discussed the party’s demand, including joining the government, but no progress has been made in this front so far.

“We will join the government only after the Election Commission decides the authenticity row of our party,” senior JSP leader Sharat Singh Bhandari said.

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As the Maoist Centre and the JSP are clearly embroiled in internal disputes, there is also a crisis inside Deuba’s own party. The Nepali Congress too is a divided house as several leaders are vying to join his Cabinet. His rival faction within the party led by Ram Chandra Poudel has demanded one Deputy Prime Minister’s post and two ministerial berths in Deuba’s Cabinet.

Another faction led by Krishna Prasad Situala is demanding at least one ministerial post in the Cabinet. Deuba had appointed two ministers earlier from his own camp and now he has to settle the anguish within his party at the time of Cabinet expansion.

Another roadblock for Deuba for Cabinet expansion is the tussle and division in the main opposition party, UML, where its 22 lawmakers did a mutiny and voted for Deuba on Sunday.

The party whip doesn’t work for any lawmaker if he/she votes for the Prime Ministerial candidate to be elected under Article 76-5 of the Constitution.

And the UML is in deep trouble for one year due to the highhandedness of outgoing Prime Minister Oli. Oli is challenged by former Prime Minister, Madhav Kumar Nepal. Those voted in favour of Deuba on Sunday were the lawmakers from the Nepal camp.

Though the party is not divided yet, there is serious division, discord and distrust between Oli and Nepal. Oli, who is the chairman of the party, on Wednesday sought clarification from all 22 lawmakers who voted for Deuba and warned that they will be removed from the party if their clarifications fail to satisfy the party leadership.

But the Nepal faction has opposed the action, saying that due to the atrocities committed by Oli inside the party, they were forced to vote for Deuba.

If party unity between Oli and Nepal factions does not work, the Nepal camp may join the government, though nothing has been decided yet.

“The way the Oli faction sought clarification from 22 lawmakers, it will hamper the party unity process. Such activities don’t help the party unity process,” senior UML leader Raghuji Pant said.

If the unity process between Oli and Nepal fails, the largest party in Nepal’s Parliament, UML, which has 127 lawmakers, will split.

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