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UK inflation rate unexpectedly dips to 9.9% as fuel prices decline

Sterling was roughly flat against the dollar on Wednesday morning, trading at around $1.1490…reports Asian Lite News

UK inflation slowed in August on the back of a fall in fuel prices, though food prices continued to rise as the country’s cost-of-living crisis persists.

The consumer price index rose 9.9% annually, according to estimates published Wednesday by the Office for National Statistics, fractionally below a consensus forecast of 10.2% among economists polled by Reuters. It was also down from July’s figure of 10.1%.

Month-on-month, consumer prices rose 0.5%, fractionally below forecasts. Core inflation, which excludes volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, was up 0.8% month-on-month and 6.3% year-on-year, in line with expectations.

“A fall in the price of motor fuels made the largest downward contribution to the change in both the CPIH and CPI annual inflation rates between July and August 2022,” the ONS said in its report.

“Rising food prices made the largest, partially offsetting, upward contribution to the change in the rates.”

Sterling was roughly flat against the dollar on Wednesday morning, trading at around $1.1490.

The UK has been hit by a historic cost-of-living crisis this year as food and energy prices skyrocket and pay increases fail to keep pace with inflation, which has led to one of the sharpest falls in real wages on record.

Last week, new British Prime Minister Liz Truss announced an emergency fiscal package capping annual household energy bills at £2,500 ($2,881.90) for the next two years, with an equivalent guarantee for businesses over the next six months and further support in the pipeline for vulnerable sectors.

Analysts expect the measures — estimated to cost the public purse around £130 billion — to sharply reduce the inflation outlook in the short term, but increase it over the medium term.

The Bank of England is set to announce its latest monetary policy decision next Thursday after a delay due to the death of Queen Elizabeth II, and is widely expected to opt for a sharp 75 basis point increase to interest rates as it looks to drag down inflation.

At its last meeting, the Bank projected that inflation would peak at 13.3% before the end of the year, and policymakers will be reappraising their outlook in light of Truss’s new energy cap announcement.

“With hope, the cap on energy bills may mean inflation is now close to peaking, though last month’s fall could likely be a fluke and we may see inflation climb further still in the months to come,” said Richard Carter, head of fixed interest research at Quilter Cheviot.

“While the energy plan may help, it comes at the cost of higher levels of borrowing and government spending which could encourage the Bank of England to hike rates even further than originally expected.”

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India News Politics

War of words over Modi’s remarks on fuel prices

Maharashtra Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray reiterated that despite being the highest contributor to the national exchequer, Maharashtra has been given step-motherly treatment by the Centre.

Maharashtra’s ruling Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) hit out at the Centre and Prime Minister Narendra Modi after he on Wednesday pointed fingers at the state government for pushing up petrol-diesel prices.

Leading the attack from the front, Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray reiterated that despite being the highest contributor to the national exchequer, Maharashtra has been given step-motherly treatment by the Centre.

“While Maharashtra gets only 5.5 per cent of Central taxes, it contributes as high as 38.3 per cent in direct taxes, 15 per cent of GST which is the highest in the country. If direct taxes and GST are combined, Maharashtra is a leading state in giving taxes. Yet, even today, we are waiting to get our Rs 26,500 GST share,” Thackeray said.

State Congress President Nana Patole’s poser was what happened to the Bharatiya Janata Party’s promise in 2014 to reduce petrol price to Rs 40, but now, it has more than tripled.

“Since the time of Atal Behari Vajpayee, a Re 1/litre Road Development Cess was being collected, it went upto Rs 2 during the tenure of UPA PM Manmohan Singh, and under the present Modi government, it stands at Rs 18/litre, besides a Rs 4 agro cess,” he said.

He pointed out that the Centre always hikes cess instead of excise, but when the rates are reduced, only excise is slashed, as was done during the recent elections in five states – since all the states are entitled to a certain revenue share – thus depriving the states of their due share.

Nationalist Congress Party Minister Chhagan Bhujbal slammed the Centre for repeatedly raising fuel prices and then blaming the states while not reimbursing the GST dues of the states.

Thackeray also said that the MVA has repeatedly asked the Centre to expand the narrow definitions of the NDRF criteria to help victims of disasters, though the state has contributed more than the stipulated amount.

“During the Taukte Cyclone (May 2021), the Centre helped Gujarat more than Maharashtra. We not only announced but also implemented the farm loans waivers. During the Covid-19 pandemic, we helped the unorganised and weaker sections of society. While speaking about cooperative federalism, it is expected that the Center treats all states in a fair manner,” he said.

He added that in Mumbai, for every litre of diesel, there is Centre’s VAT of Rs 24.38, while the state’s VAT is Rs 22.37, in petrol, Rs 31.58 is Centre’s tax and state’s tax is Rs 32.55, and hence, it was wrong to blame the states for the spiralling petrol-diesel prices.

Thackeray also pointed out how the state recently reduced VAT on CNG from 13.5 to 3 per cent for the customers, benefitting domestic consumer, transport sectors and encouraging the use of the green fuel.

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