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Yellen Urges China to Address Industrial Overcapacity

Janet Yellen, who is on a five-day visit to China, has raised concern with Chinese officials regarding state subsidies that fuel manufacturing overcapacity in industries like electric vehicles, solar panels and semiconductors, reports Asian Lite News

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who is on five-day visit to China, has urged Chinese officials to address its industrial overcapacity, reform its trade practices and create a “healthy economic relationship” with the United States, VOA News reported.

Yellen, who is on a five-day visit to China, has raised concern with Chinese officials regarding state subsidies that fuel manufacturing overcapacity in industries like electric vehicles, solar panels and semiconductors.

In her remarks in China’s Guangzhou, Yellen said, “The United States seeks a healthy economic relationship with China that benefits both sides.” She added, “But a healthy relationship must provide a level playing field for firms and workers in both countries.”

She also held a meeting with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and other high-level central bank officials on Friday. During the meeting, Yellen told Chinese officials that their industrial overcapacity, especially in green energy sectors, threatens American production of electric vehicles and solar panel parts, VOA News reported.

Secretary Yellen during a meeting with Vice Premier He Lifeng

China has backed its solar panel and EV makers through subsidies, building production capacity far beyond the domestic market’s demand and exporting its products across the world. The production has cheapened prices for these green products. The US and European governments have expressed worry that Chinese products will flood the market and put their own domestic production at risk.

During a meeting with Guangdong province Governor Wang Weizhong, Yellen said the US and China must hold talks on areas of disagreement, including green industrial policy. She said, “This includes the issue of China’s industrial overcapacity, which the United States and other countries are concerned can cause global spillovers.”

China has tried to downplay these concerns, with Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin earlier this week saying that China’s green production is a positive in global efforts to reduce carbon emissions. Wang said US reluctance to export technology to China meddles with global supply and demand.

Wang Wenbin said, “As for who is doing nonmarket manipulation, the fact is for everyone to see.” He said, “The US has not stopped taking measures to contain China’s trade and technology. This is not ‘de-risking,’ rather, it is creating risks,” VOA News reported.

During her visit to China, Yellen also expressed concerns about Chinese trade practices. She said that China has been using “unfair economic practices, including imposing barriers to access for foreign firms and taking coercive actions against American companies.” She called on Chinese officials to reform these policies.

Yellen during a meeting with Guangdong Governor Wang Weizhong

In her address at an event hosted by the American Chamber of Commerce in Guangzhou, Yellen said, “I strongly believe that this doesn’t only hurt these American firms.” She further said, “Ending these unfair practices would benefit China by improving the business climate here.”

Yellen’s visit to China marks the first visit by a senior US official to China since November meetings between US President Joe Biden and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

Jenet Yellen said, “It also remains crucial for the two largest economies to seek progress on global challenges like climate change and debt distress in emerging markets in developing countries and to closely communicate on issues of concern such as overcapacity and national security-related economic actions.”

She further said that efforts to push Chinese policies are geared towards reducing global risk. Yellen noted, “This is not anti-China policy” and called it an effort by the US “to mitigate the risks from the inevitable global economic dislocation that will result if China doesn’t adjust its policies.”

On Friday, Yellen stated in a post on X, “Many American business executives have expressed the challenges of operating in China. I’ll also discuss with my Chinese counterparts the risks associated with overcapacity. These exchanges will help lead to building a healthy bilateral economic relationship.”

US officials and economists have warned that China’s overcapacity will further reduce prices and cost jobs, particularly if Beijing wants to offload excess production through exports rather than domestic consumption.

During the telephonic conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday, US President Joe Biden said China’s “unfair” trade policies and “non-market” practices harm the interests of US workers and families, VOA News reported.

While addressing a regular briefing on Wednesday, China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said that Biden and Xi Jinping spoke on trade. He said, “the US has adopted a string of measures to suppress China’s trade and technology development and is adding more and more Chinese entities to its sanctions lists. This is not ‘de-risking,’ but creating risks.”

Gary Clyde Hufbauer, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said that for capital-intensive industries like steel, oil refining and semiconductors, when capacity utilisation is below 75 per cent for an extended period of time, the majority of observers would call it excess capacity.

Speaking to VOA News, Hufbauer said that China’s government-stimulated and bank-financed investment has led to almost all of China’s capital-intensive manufacturing industries having overcapacity.

He said, “If China does pursue a massive export ‘solution,’ that will hurt manufacturing firms in Japan, the EU, Korea and other industrial countries. But low prices will be welcome in many developing countries in Latin America, Africa and Asia.”

Last week the VOA cited a report by New York-based Rhodium Group, which researches the Chinese market, stating that the utilisation rate of China’s silicon wafer capacity witnessed a drop from 78 per cent in 2019 to 57 per cent in 2022.

In 2022, China’s lithium-ion battery production reached 1.9 times the domestic installation volume, which demonstrates that overcapacity in clean energy fields is emerging.

China’s exports of electric vehicles, solar cells and lithium batteries have witnessed a rise even more significantly. According to 2023 data, China’s electric vehicle export volume was seven times that of 2019, while its solar cell export volume in 2023 was five times that of 2018, which shows a rise of 40 per cent from 2022.

According to the report, temporary overcapacity might be harmless and a normal part of the market cycle. However, it becomes a problem when it is perpetuated by the involvement of the government.

The report released by the Rhodium Group said that China’s National People’s Congress in March focused on industrial policies that provide benefits to high-tech industries, while there is little financial support for household consumption.

The report said, “This policy mix will compound the growing imbalance between domestic supply and demand.” It said, “Systemic bias toward supporting producers rather than households or consumers allows Chinese firms to ramp up production despite low margins, without the fear of bankruptcy that constrains firms in market economies.” (ANI)

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Blinken, Wang Yi Meet in Munich, Discuss Taiwan, Ukraine

US has been doubling down on its drive to “responsibly” manage strategic competition with China through improved bilateral communication and other measures

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi discussed a range of regional and global issues, including the Korean Peninsula, Taiwan and Russia’s war in Ukraine during their talks in Germany on Friday, a US State Department spokesperson said.

They met on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference on Friday as Washington has been doubling down on its drive to “responsibly” manage strategic competition with China through improved bilateral communication and other measures, Yonhap news agency reported.

“The two sides also exchanged views on the situation in the Middle East and on the Korean Peninsula and affirmed that their respective senior officials should meet to follow up on these discussions,” State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said in a readout.

Miller did not elaborate on the Korea-related topic, but the two sides were expected to touch on North Korea’s evolving military threats.

Blinken emphasized the importance of maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait and in the South China Sea, while raising concerns over China’s support for Russia’s war against Ukraine, including support for Russia’s defence industrial base, according to Miller.

The secretary also highlighted the importance of continuing to implement the progress made by President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping at their summit in November in California, including counternarcotics cooperation and military-to-military communications.

“The secretary reiterated that the United States will stand up for our interests and values and those of our allies and partners,” Miller said.

Both sides recognized the importance of maintaining open lines of communication across a range of strategic issues, including consultations and high-level meetings in key areas in the coming months, according to the spokesperson.

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US ‘Hopeful, But Not Optimistic’ About China Relations

US envoy to China, Nicholas Burns said “so far, the Chinese have met their commitments on fentanyl, and I think will in terms of our military-to-military context but let’s see that happen over time.”

The US envoy to China, Nicholas Burns, on Friday said relations between the two countries are not necessarily improving, but he was ‘hopeful’ of better ties, The Hill reported.

“I don’t feel optimistic about the future of U.S.-China relations because I feel that we need to see how things develop,” Burns said at an event hosted by the Brookings Institution.

“We had a good and productive meeting in California. Can we now sustain that engagement? Can we meet our commitments to each other?” he added.

“I’ve lived the past. The roller-coaster past where communications is cut off and then put back on again,” he said, adding, “So, wouldn’t say I’m optimistic. I’m careful about this. Maybe realistic. Hopeful, if you will. But hopeful is different than optimistic.”

“So far, the Chinese have met their commitments on fentanyl, and I think will in terms of our military-to-military context but let’s see that happen over time,” Burns said on Friday.

The diplomat said he hoped the two countries could create a relationship where they could compete, adding, however, that it must be done in a responsible way that brings down the possibility of conflict.

Ambassador Nicholas Burns, US Ambassador to China

His comments come a month after President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping met at a friendly summit in San Francisco. The forum was largely viewed as a positive encounter despite the president calling Xi a “dictator” immediately after it, The Hill reported.

Part of the agreement between the two leaders was establishing military contacts that were severed last year.

It was a high-priority task for Biden, something he views as essential to avoid potentially disastrous, accidental conflicts, The Hill reported earlier.

After meeting the Chinese President, Biden informed that Xi said he would keep the lines of communication open between the two leaders.

They also agreed to restart cooperation on counternarcotics, as the U.S. pushes China to crack down on the export of chemicals used in fentanyl, The Hill reported. (ANI)

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Biden mulls curbs on US businesses investing in China

Some types of new investment in critical sectors will be prohibited while others will require companies to notify the US government.

The Joe Biden administration in the US is reportedly about to announce new restrictions on US companies investments in China, noted analyst Christopher Wood of Jefferies said in a research note.

“The word is that Biden aims to sign an executive order in coming weeks that will limit investment in China by American businesses. The executive order will reportedly cover semiconductors, artificial intelligence and quantum computing,” Wood wrote.

Some types of new investment in critical sectors will be prohibited while others will require companies to notify the US government. The US hopes to get an endorsement from its G7 partners on such investment curbs at the G7 summit in Japan which begins May 19, Wood said.

The cumulative direct investment in China by US business totalled $118 billion at the end of 2021, with $57 billion or 48 per cent going into the manufacturing sector.

An April 20 speech by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was clearly an attempt to extend an olive branch. In particular, Yellen stated that US national security concerns “are not designed for us to gain a competitive economic advantage, or stifle China’s economic and technological modernisation”.

US President Joe Biden with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Bali Indonesia. (Photo Twitter@SpokespersonCHN)

It was clearly a reference to the stated policy of the US Department of Commerce to block the supply of advanced semiconductors to China.

Wood said it also seems from a Beijing point of view as a targeted effort by Washington’s national security lobby to stop China from upgrading its economy, which results in the risk that it is stuck in the dreaded middle-income trap given China’s deteriorating demographics.

So Yellen’s tone should be welcomed as an effort to soften the rhetoric of late coming from the likes of National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan or Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who appear at times to be out to pick a fight with China,.

Yellen’s speech represents mixed messages at best. Indeed, China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin stated last Friday that Washington’s “true intention is to deprive China of its development rights”. It is pure economic coercion, Wood added.

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US expedites Taiwan arms sale

US Secretary of Defense said he assembled a “tiger team” months ago to “dig down on the foreign military sales issues” and strive to expedite deliveries.

In order to ensure that Taiwan has sufficient military capabilities amid China’s aggression, the Pentagon has formed a “tiger team” to discuss foreign military sales, reported Taipei Times.

US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin on Thursday said he has assembled the team to ensure that weapons purchased by Taiwan would be delivered sooner. Austin was responding to a remark by US Representative Ken Calvert, chairman of the US House of Representatives Defense Appropriations Subcommittee, after his visit to Taiwan last week that arms deliveries were moving at an “extremely slow pace,” reported Taipei Times.

He said he assembled a “tiger team” months ago to “dig down on the foreign military sales issues” and strive to expedite deliveries.

Speaking at the US House Committee on Appropriations, Austin attributed the backlog to the Covid-19 pandemic and supply chain pressures, but said that “the industry will catch up,” reported Taipei Times.

Leaders from the US Department of Defense gather regularly “to make sure that we are providing the right kinds of capabilities that Taiwan needs,” he added.

The US National Guard has been working with Taiwan to increase its proficiency in several areas, he said, adding that continuing the joint program “will be very, very valuable.”

US President Joe Biden is seen along with Secretary of State Antony Blinken and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley. (Photo Twitter@POTUS)

The defence secretary was joined by US Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman General Mark Milley, who was asked about the potential impact of a cut in defence spending and how it would affect Washington’s ability to provide deterrence against Chinese activities in the Indo-Pacific region, reported Taipei Times.

Milley said the operational tempo and training of the US military would be greatly reduced not just in the region, but worldwide.

He said cuts could force the US to make fewer transits through the Taiwan Strait, and also “less freedom of navigation, less patrolling of the air, less ISR [intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance]. Everything will be less, which will increase risk, increase danger and send the wrong message,” reported Taipei Times.

Separately, US Representative Michael McCaul, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, called on Washington to speed up arms deliveries to Taiwan at the committee’s budget hearing.

“The threat of communist China cannot be overstated,” he said adding, “I personally think Chairman Xi is going to try to influence the (legislative and presidential) elections” in Taiwan next year, referring to Chinese President Xi Jinping.

If Xi fails, his “plan B” would be a blockade and “an invasion on a scale that will make Ukraine look like a very small thing,” he said. “Taiwan is not prepared,” he said, citing an absence of joint military exercises between Taiwan and the US, as well as arms sale delays, reported Taipei Times.

A soldier looks through binoculars during combat exercises and training of the navy of the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in the waters around the Taiwan Island, Aug. 5, 2022. (Photo by Lin Jian/Xinhua/IANS)

Along with the AUKUS security alliance comprising Australia, the UK and the US, and the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue between Australia, India, Japan and the US, he called on the US to arm Taiwan to deter a potential Chinese invasion, which he said would be “devastating.”

Taiwan’s importance lies in its control of 90 percent of the global supply of advanced semiconductors, he said, adding that an invasion would result in “a world of hurt”.

The budget requested by the US Department of State and the US Agency for International Development Indo-Pacific Opportunity Project for fiscal 2024 increased by 18 per cent compared with the previous fiscal year, reported Taipei Times.

US Representative Ann Wagner, vice chairwoman of the foreign affairs committee, urged the US to show “resolute and unflinching support for this important democratic partner as it faces increased bullying and coercion” by China.

She questioned the approach taken by the US, saying that it “is overly concerned with avoiding even the slightest chance of offending Beijing,” while only 2 per cent of the proposed budget goes toward the Indo-Pacific region, reported Taipei Times. (ANI)

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Blinken postpones China trip over spy balloon

Antony Blinken was scheduled to leave for China later on Friday for wide-ranging talks, reorts Yashwant Raj

The United States has postponed Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s upcoming visit to Beijing over a Chinese surveillance balloon floating over America, calling it a “clear and unacceptable violation of national sovereignty (of the United States) and international laws”.

A senior state department official told reporters on a hurriedly convened news conference on Friday that the US has taken note of the Chinese statement of regret and stressed that the visit has only been postponed, and not cancelled, and the Secretary of State intends to visit China at the earliest opportunity when conditions are more conducive.

Blinken was scheduled to leave for China later on Friday for wide-ranging talks in the follow-up to the first in-person summit between President Joe Biden and China’s Xi Jinping in Bali on the sidelines of the last G-20 summit.

The US said on Thursday that it was closely monitoring a Chinese spy balloon that is said to be the size of three passenger buses wafting across the sky and had considered shooting it down, but hesitated so far fearing falling debris on civilian populations underneath.

This is not the first such sighting. It has happened before, but the US defence department said this is the longest Chinese spy balloon which has been seen hovering over the country. And it came as Blinken was preparing to visit China, while President Biden is slated to delver his first State of the Union speech in a Republican-led House of Representatives.

The state department official said these sightings might have happened before but this was the first time it took place on the eve of the Secretary of State’s visit to China.

India will be following this spy balloon’s flight as well for insights and lessons given its own border challenges with China, whose military has provoked a string of skirmishes along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in recent years, the last of them took place in December 2022, and with increasing frequency.

“The US government has detected and is tracking a high-altitude surveillance balloon that is over the continental United States right now,” Pentagon Press Secretary and Air Force Brigadier General Pat Ryder said during an impromptu briefing on Thursday evening.

“The US government, to include NORAD (North American Aerospace Defense Command), continues to track and monitor it closely,” he said.

But the balloon poses no threat to commercial air traffic as it’s positioned way above that height, Ruder said.

President Biden has been briefed about the matter, according to news reports.

A senior defence official who briefed reporters on the background that the US intelligence community has “very high confidence” the balloon belongs to China and the US has engaged China on it “with urgency, through multiple channels”.

The US is weighing options on how to deal with the balloon but for now, the official said, it’s been decided at the highest level in the US military — Chairman of joint chiefs of staff Mark Milley — to let it float overhead, rather than to shoot it down. The key concern being the safety of civilians down below.

“We did assess that it was large enough to cause damage from the debris field if we downed it over an area,” the official said, adding, “I can’t really go into the dimension but there have been reports of pilots seeing this thing, even though it’s pretty high up in the sky. So… it’s sizable.”

But the US is largely leery about the mission of this spy mission.

“Currently, we assess that this balloon has limited additive value from an intelligence collective collection perspective. But we are taking steps, nevertheless, to protect against foreign intelligence collection of sensitive information,” the official said.

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US to counter China by expanding trade ties with Africa

The US want to wrest control of the supply chain for electric car batteries from China in Africa, where reports of child abuse and forced labour are rampant.

In order to counter China in Africa, which has made inroads with investments and trade, the US sought to expand its influence by bolstering trade ties in the continent, writes Arianna Skibell in Politico.

Biden administration is planning investments in the supply chain for electric car batteries in Africa. The US want to wrest control of the supply chain for electric car batteries from China in Africa, where reports of child abuse and forced labour are rampant, writes Politico’s E&E News reporter David Iaconangelo.

Notably, China is playing out in African mines. Zambia and Congo are major sources of cobalt and copper, key ingredients for lithium-ion batteries.

Once extracted, the bulk of those minerals are exported to China, where 75 per cent of the world’s lithium-ion batteries are made, writes Skibell.

The US wants to disrupt that flow by helping Congo and Zambia not only extract minerals but also process, manufacture and assemble them into batteries.

“This is the future, and it is happening in (Congo) and in Zambia,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken proclaimed last month at the signing of a US agreement with the central and southern African nations.

While the US agreement to help these African countries create a competitive battery industry doesn’t mention China, success there could create a new base for competing against the Asian superpower.

At the same time, it could open the door for new partnerships with US car companies, reported Politico.

That could be crucial for helping President Joe Biden meet his goal of having electric vehicles account for half of all new US car sales by the decade’s end.

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Analysts predict a looming supply shortage of critical minerals, reported Politico.

Progress on the world’s rising climate action ambitions could be undermined by a shortage of some of the critical minerals used in clean-energy technologies including wind turbines, solar farms and electric vehicles (EVs), unless governments act now to head off a “looming mismatch” in supply and demand, according to a far-reaching report from the International Energy Agency (IEA).

It is pertinent to note that Chinese trade with Africa is about four times that of the United States. Beijing has become an important creditor by offering cheaper loans – often with opaque terms and collateral requirements – than Western lenders.

According to a Eurasia Group analysis, in 2021 China-Africa trade, at USD 254 billion, vastly outstripped US-Africa trade, which stood at USD 64.3 billion. Those figures are up from USD 12 billion and USD 21 billion, respectively, in 2002.

Western leaders have sharply criticized what they see as Beijing’s foot-dragging in addressing the heavy debt burden facing many African countries.

China remains the region’s largest bilateral investor, but its new loan commitments to Africa have declined in recent years.

It’s not all about economic sway – Washington has been alarmed by China’s efforts to establish a military foothold in Africa, including on the Atlantic coast in Equatorial Guinea. (ANI)

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Need for ‘peace and stability’ in Taiwan Strait: Blinken to Wang Yi

Over an hour-long meeting, Blinken emphasized that the United States is committed to maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait, consistent with its longstanding one-China policy, reports Asian Lite News

Amid the tension between US and China, Secretary of State Antony Blinken met his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi on Friday and stressed for preserving peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait.

Blinken, who is in New York to attend the 77th sessions of UNGA, “stressed that preserving peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait is critical to regional and global security and prosperity,” State Department spokesperson Ned Price said in a statement.

Over an hour-long meeting, Blinken emphasized that the United States is committed to maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait, consistent with its longstanding one-China policy.

Both leaders discussed the need to maintain open lines of communication and responsibly manage the US-PRC relationship.

“He also reiterated the United States’ condemnation of Russia’s war against Ukraine and highlighted the implications if the PRC were to provide support to Moscow’s invasion of a sovereign state. He underscored that the United States remains open to cooperating with the PRC where our interests intersect,” Ned Price said as quoted by the statement.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and a US delegation meets with a delegation lef by his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi.

Earlier also, the US had repeatedly raised their voice on China-Taiwan relations. On September 19, CBS released their interview with US President from its “60 minutes programme”, where Joe Biden said that American forces would defend Taiwan from a Chinese invasion.

Responding to a query over defending Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion, Biden said the US would defend Taiwan “if in fact there was an unprecedented attack,” according to The Washington Post.

Scott Pelley, the interviewer in the 60-minute programme pressed Biden on whether the situation would be different in the event of an attack on Taiwan.

“So unlike Ukraine, to be clear, sir, U.S. forces — U.S. men and women — would defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion?” Pelley asked.

“Yes,” Biden replied.

The relations between China and US deteriorated after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan. That trip angered China’s ruling Communist Party — which views Taiwan as part of its territory, despite never having governed it — and it responded by launching unprecedented military drills around the island, sending warplanes across the Taiwan Strait and firing missiles over the main island. (ANI)

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