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Business Economy India News

‘Need For Personal Mobility Pushing Two Wheeler Demand’

Having achieved year-on-year sales growth during the Navratri period, two-wheeler major Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India (HMSI) now expects stable demand to last beyond the festive season.

He also consider the rising demand for personal mode of transport as a driving force behind the present hike in sales.

Notably, the two-wheeler major has recorded a YoY sales growth in the nine-day period, which marks the arrival of the festival season in India.

This period is known for higher sales which are supported by new models and discounts.

In an interaction with IANS, Yadvinder Singh Guleria, Director, Sales and Marketing, HMSI, pointed out that sales growth during the start of the festive season has come on the back of many factors.

“There are a number of reasons behind this lower digit sales growth, especially the full unlock process that has taken place in the urban areas. Then, there is the pent up demand, introduction of new models, propensity of more customers to move from the public transport infrastructure to personal mode of mobility,” he said.

“There is now an increasing need of mobility in urban India as offices open up and more and more people venture out,” he added.

According to Guleria, retail finance availability at a lower rate of interest from the bankers has aided in accelerating the sales momentum.

Honda’s newly launched H’ness CB350

“The end of moratorium period from August onwards and the continued low repo rate which has been extended by the RBI to the banks basically to fuel the lending in the market has now started giving results. In September, we have seen a jump of almost 4 per cent in retail finance,” he cited.

Besides, Guleria expects the company to post positive retail sales growth during the festive season. However, the prediction comes with a caveat mandating stable or receding trend of COVID-19 infections.

“There are factors which are not in our control and no one can predict them. If everything continues in the same manner, single digit positive growth can be seen. Diwali is on November 14 and November 12 is Dhanteras, we are still over two weeks away from that. So, what happens in these two weeks simply cannot be predicted.”

Furthermore, Guleria believes the demand momentum will last beyond the festive season but at a slower pace.

“The government’s intention is very clear that economic activity must go on and there are also indications that colleges and schools are also going to open. We have missed the demand for two wheelers from students and the faculty of colleges and universities,” he said.

Traditionally, the two-wheeler industry sees a spike in average demand during July-August every year, as the new academic session begins.

“Additionally, many other industries are slowly limping back. Over a period of time, people employed with these industries will also get back their buying power. So, these factors will surely add some additional demand to the market.

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“There could be some level up going forward. It will not be like the festive season demand spike, but we expect the positivity to continue,” Guleria said.

In September, HMSI reported positive sales growth for the second consecutive month in FY21.

The company’s YoY domestic sales zoomed by double digit to 10 per cent growth to close at 500,887 units compared to 455,896 units sold in September 2019.

It exported 25,978 units and clocked a total sales of 526,865 units in September 2020 compared to 485,663 units sales in September 2019.

Also Read: ‘Indian Economy Clearly On Recovery Path’

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Business Economy

US investors urge SEBI to Effect IPO Reforms

Investors and other market stakeholders from US have asked India’s capital market regulator SEBI to bring in reforms in the regulations for initial public offering (IPO), a statement said on Wednesday.

SEBI Chairman Ajay Tyagi, along with other SEBI officials, had an e-interaction on Tuesday with various stakeholders including industry and investor associations from the US. The interaction was organised by US India Strategic Partnership Forum (USISPF).

In the statement, the SEBI said that the participants also emphasised the need for early finalisation of direct listing proposal, development of the corporate bond market, digitisation of processes, and showed interest in participating in innovative ideas under SEBI’s regulatory sandbox framework.

Various queries raised during the meetings on multiple issues were clarified by the SEBI team, it said.

Tyagi said: “We interacted with various stakeholders including the investors in the Indian capital markets from the US. We briefed them about the key developments of the Indian economy as well as the recent trends in the securities market, especially in this Covid era. The achievements of Indian primary markets, secondary markets and specific products such REITs and InvITs were brought out in the interactions.”

The attractiveness of the Indian markets despite the Covid impact and the recent surge in foreign investment into India through the Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) route was also emphasised, he said.

Tyagi was of the view that the increasing number of registrations of FPIs every year and increasing inflows of FPI investment in the Indian equity market signify the sustained interest of the foreign investors in the Indian capital markets.

“Considering that the largest number of FPIs and about one third of the total assets under custody of FPIs are from USA, the importance of US investments into India was emphasized especially taking into account the growing partnership between the two countries,” the SEBI Chairman said.

Also Read: India Set To Be A Top Investment Choice: Survey

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Economy India News

Anti farm bill agitations hit freight train services in Punjab

The indefinite ‘Kisan Rail Roko’ agitation in several parts of Punjab has hurt the movement of freight trains in the several states, including Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh thus impacting the economy.

According to Northern Railways, the freight movement has been stopped because of uncertainty on farmers agitation.

Farmers in Punjab have been agitating against the controversial Agriculture Bills passed by the Centre in Parliament last month.

The farmers association has been demanding the revocation of the new farm laws.

Farmers blocking rail services in protest against the farm bill amendments brought in by the central government.

The Northern Railways has cancelled and short terminated several passenger trains in view of the farmers’ agitation.

Northern Railways Spokesperson Deepak Kumar said, “With the stoppage of the freight train services, it is difficult to assure our valued customer that their goods will reach their destination on time.”

He said the transport of coal, cement, fertilizers and containers have been hit maximum by the stoppage of the freight train services in view of farmers agitation.

Kumar said that the Northern Railway runs about 50 to 70 freight trains on an average per day covering Punjab, J&K and parts of Himachal Pradesh.

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Economy UAE News

Foreign currency deposits in UAE national banks grow 7.3%

The total foreign currency deposits held by the UAE national banks amounted to around AED409 bn by August, a growth of 7.3 percent, according to the statistics of the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates.

These account for 30 percent of the total deposits held by the Emirati banks, valued at AED1.346 trillion by the end of August. They grew to AED366.8 bn in Q2 from AED381 bn in December 2019, before rising to around AED395 bn in July.

The foreign deposits held by all national banks in the UAE comprise around 40 percent of deposits of all terms; account for 12.6 percent of saving deposits and 24.3 percent of demand deposits.

They represent around 81.3 percent of total foreign deposits held by all banks operating in the UAE, according to the statistics.

Also Read: UAE, US, Israel set up ‘Abraham Fund’

Also Read: Dubai’s non oil external trade hits AED551 bn in H12020

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Business Economy

OPEC production cuts to go beyond December

Oil cartel OPEC may decide on extending the existing level of production cuts beyond December to keep the crude price stable next year. The chances are high as the extended run of Covid-19 pandemic threatens to keep demand under check over a longer period, though the global economy looks to reach closer normalcy next year.

Oil sector experts privy to the development said that an Ordinary Meeting of OPEC is scheduled in Vienna on November 30. This meeting, they said, may also discuss extension of production cuts beyond December and is likely to seal a deal in this regard after having few more parleys over next one month.

“Demand recovery reversal due to rising infections and/or Iran’s supply rise are risks to oil price but to counter these risks, OPEC+ can delay pruning of production cuts from 7.7 million barrels of oil per day (mbpd) to 5.8 mbpd to a later date or deepen cuts,” a research report by ICICI Securities has said.

Though oil is out of the woods with demand recovering from April 2020 lows and demand exceeding supply from June 2020, the fresh wave of the pandemic in Europe and increasing cases in US has thrown fresh concerns over normalcy returning to the market anytime soon.

Global crude oil price has moved between $40-42 per barrel range for last couple of months even through rising demand in recent months has created minor supply shortage of oil in the market.

According to US Energy Information Administration (EIA), global oil demand has exceeded supply since June 2020 with global supply deficit at 1.7-3.6 mbpd in June-September 2020 vs supply surplus of 19.5 mbpd in April 2020.

But concerns remain over continuation of demand rise into 2021 over the pandemic.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated global oil demand to rise by 5.5 mbpd YoY but supply rise is estimated at only 2 mbpd YoY in CY21E, assuming OPEC+ prunes cuts to 5.8 mbpd from January 2021 and Libyan output ramps up; thus, supply deficit of 1.2 mbpd is estimated in CY21E vs surplus of 2.2 mbpd in CY20E.

But according to ICICI Securities, these numbers may come under pressure if the pandemic run is extended. Therefore, experts said that OPEC decision will be closely watched as continuation production cuts would support oil prices if demand remains subdued.

Also Read: Challenges mar OPEC’s 60th anniversary

Also Read: OPEC Denotes Signs Of Improvement

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Economy UAE News

UAE hosts 25th meeting of Indian Ocean Rim Business Forum

The meeting was chaired by the Secretary-General of the UAE Federation of the Chambers of Commerce and Industry, Humaid Ben Salem, as part of the UAE’s Chairship of the Indian Ocean Rim Association…reports Asian Lite News

The UAE hosted the 25th meeting of the Indian Ocean Rim Business Forum, IORBF on Tueday. The event, which was held virtually as part of the Annual Investment Meeting under the theme of “Pathways to Prosperity: Regional Integration and Opportunities for the Private Sector,” aims to promote economic growth, trade, and investment in the Indian Ocean region.

The meeting was chaired by the Secretary-General of the UAE Federation of the Chambers of Commerce and Industry, Humaid Ben Salem, as part of the UAE’s Chairship of the Indian Ocean Rim Association, IORA, for 2019-2021.

The meeting brought together business representatives from IORA Member States and Dialogue Partners to discuss modernising trade and investment in the Indian Ocean and the future of the IORBF in a post-COVID-19 world.

The IORBF is the primary IORA body for business representatives to advise IORA ministers and officials on business issues and ways to accelerate intra-regional trade and increase foreign direct investment flows in the region. IORBF membership is comprised of senior members of chambers of commerce and the business community who can effectively represent the national business interests of their economies.

The UAE joined IORA in 1999 and assumed chairship of the association during the 19th IORA Council of Ministers meeting held in Abu Dhabi on 7th November 2019 under the theme of “Promoting a Shared Destiny and Path to Prosperity in the Indian Ocean.”

The IORBF, which is convened annually, last took place in Durban, South Africa on 18th June, 2019.

Also read:UAE builds mosque named after Indonesian President

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Economy India News

‘Option not closed for another stimulus package’

Just a week after announcing measures to boost consumer demand and provide liquidity to states, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Monday said that the government has not closed the option of coming out with another round of stimulus with a view to support the economy amid the pandemic.

Speaking at the virtual launch of the autobiography of 15th Finance Commission Chairman N.K. Singh, titled “Portraits of Power: Half a Century of Being at Ringside”, Sitharaman said that all the announcements made so far have come after a lot consideration of inputs from different sections of the society followed by working out on them within the Finance Ministry also also with the Prime Minister’s Office.

“I have not closed the option for another stimulus package,” she said.

On October 12, the Finance Minister announced a number of measures to induce government employees to spend in the upcoming festive season, including a ‘LTC Cash Voucher Scheme’ and a ‘Special Festival Advance Scheme’.

In May, the government came up with the much talked about Rs 20 lakh crore ‘Aatmanirbhar Bharat’ economic package. Both the rounds of stimulus so far have received flak along with appreciation from the industry and experts, as many are of the opinion that they are inadequate, more so in terms of boosting demand.

A recent Moody’s report said that that the second round of fiscal stimulus amounts to just 0.2 per cent of the country’s real GDP forecast for the financial year 2021 and in total, the two rounds of stimulus bring the government’s direct spending on coronavirus-related fiscal support to just around 1.2 per cent of GDP.

On Monday, Sitharaman also said that the government has now started assessing the GDP contraction, and will have to come up with its report, whether in Parliament or in public.

Also Read: Steep fall in India’s bullion imports

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Business Economy

‘Not the time to think of fiscal deficit limits’

The newly appointed President of the PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Sanjay Aggarwal has called for the Indian government to step in and spend more on infrastructure projects. He also said that this is not the time to think of limits set by the FRBM Act.

Describing the Indian economy as “resilient”, President of the premier industry body said that the damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic and the eventual nationwide lockdown was huge.

He said that there is massive requirement of public expenditure, that too from the Centre, as states are not in a good shape in terms of their finances.

Aggarwal was of the view that the government’s policies in terms of lockdown and unlock were very much required.

He observed that the 23.9 per cent contraction in the Indian economy in the April-June quarter was a huge loss, but improved indicators in September, including GST collections, auto sales and export numbers gave an optimistic outlook.

Citing the increase in digital payments and automobile sales along with reports of decrease in job losses by September-end, Aggarwal told IANS that there is resilience in the Indian economy.

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“The point is that the resilience is there, but the damage has been huge. The gap that has been caused, the hole that has been dug, is going to need a lot of filling,” Aggarwal said.

Appreciating the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) announced last year by the government, he said that now is the time for investments to be made through the pipeline.

The industry body chief said that it is not the time now to spend keeping in mind the limits under the FRBM Act.

“This (NIP) is something that now needs to be taken up in all seriousness and the expenditure has to be frontloaded rather than backloaded,” Aggarwal said, observing that the Centre should on an urgent basis make investments, as private investments are unlikely at this juncture and states also are not in a good shape financially.

Aggarwal noted that there might be an impact on fiscal deficit but this is not the time to think of limits set by the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act.

“There may be an impact on the deficit, but if you look at the world economy, people have gone up to 20 per cent of the economy for the Covid relief measures. Our budgetary support to the Covid relief measures is not more than 1.5 per cent,” he said.

Also Read: Steep fall in India’s bullion imports

Also Read: Indian e-com to garner $6.5bn in festive sales: Report

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Economy UAE News

Sharjah leads crucial WAIPA regional meeting

It was organised to analyse how investment promotion agencies (IPAs) in the MENA region have been responding to the changes brought about by the global health crisis….Reports Asian Lite News

In its capacity as the World Association of Investment Promotion Agencies (WAIPA) regional director for MENA, the Sharjah FDI Office (Invest in Sharjah), an affiliate of the Sharjah Investment and Development Authority (Shurooq), recently led a regional members’ meeting virtually in association with WAIPA.

It was organised to analyse how investment promotion agencies (IPAs) in the MENA region have been responding to the changes brought about by the global health crisis, and discuss strategies to be able to successfully create sustainable investment ecosystems for a post-Covid era.

Prominent speakers at the meeting titled ‘Beyond the COVID-19 Crisis – Investment Promotion Agencies and the New Normal’, included Mohamed Juma Al Musharrkh – CEO, Invest in Sharjah; the Regional Director of WAIPA Steering Committee for the MENA region, and member of the Steering Committee; Bostjan Skalar – Executive Director and CEO, WAIPA; Beligh Ben Soltane – President, Tunisia Investment Authority (TIA); Abdelbasset Ghanmi – General Manager, Agence de Promotion de l’Investissement Exterieur (FIPA); Haytham Wahidi – CEO, Palestinian Investment Promotion Agency (PIPA); Ms. Amira Murad – Investment Development Authority of Lebanon (IDAL); and Ahmed Omic – Research Analyst, WAIPA.

Leading the discussions, Al Musharrkh, said Invest In Sharjah welcomed the opportunity to learn from regional investment leaders about the approaches various organisations have been taking to overcome challenges posed by the pandemic, and looked forward collaborate with the 54 IPAs in the MENA region – including 24 from the Middle East – to overcome them.

Also read:Iran to buy arms from the world as UN embargo ends

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Business Economy

Steep fall in India’s bullion imports

Gold imports by India declined 57.12 per cent in the first half of the current financial year (2020-21) to $6.77 billion as demand has been largely hit by the pandemic.

During April-September FY20, the value of gold imports stood at $15.80 billion.

As per the Commerce Ministry data, import of the yellow metal last month stood at $601.43 million, 52.85 per cent lower on a year-on-year basis.

Silver imports too have slumped during over the past six months. During April-September, silver worth $733.57 million was imported, 63.41 per cent lower than imports worth $2 billion recorded a year ago.

In September FY21, India imported silver worth just $9.40 million, nearly 94 per cent lower than $154.54 million recorded during the same period last fiscal.

India’s total imports in September fell 19.60 per cent to $30.31 billion from $37.69 billion reported a year ago.

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