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What Propels India Towards 3rd Largest Economy

In PPP terms, India is already the third-largest economy globally. The RBI bulletin indicates it’s projected to surpass the US by 2045, becoming the world’s second-largest economy…reports Asian Lite News

While India’s recent growth performance has surprised many, triggering a flurry of upgrades from financial institutions such as the IMF, the RBI bulletin released on Tuesday cites six factors that will propel the country to become the world’s third-largest economy.

In purchasing power parity (PPP) terms, the Indian economy is already the third largest in the world. According to the OECD’s December 2023 update, India will overtake the US by 2045 in PPP terms to become the world’s second-largest economy, the RBI bulletin points out.

According to the bulletin, the “tailwinds likely to power India’s take-off” are as follows:

* The demographics favour the rising profile of growth. Currently, India has the world’s largest and youngest population. The median age is around 28 years; not until the mid-2050s will aging set in. Thus, India will enjoy a demographic dividend window of more than three decades, driven by rising working-age population rates and labour force participation rate. This is a striking contrast to a world widely confronted with the challenge of aging.

* India’s growth performance has been historically anchored by domestic resources, with foreign savings playing a minor and supplementary role. This is also reflected in the current account deficit (CAD), which remains within a sustainable threshold of about 2.5 per cent of the GDP. Currently, the CAD averages about 1 per cent, and this is associated with various indicators of external sector resilience – illustratively, external debt is below 20 per cent of the GDP and net international investment liabilities are below 12 per cent.

* The gradualistic path of fiscal consolidation adopted after the Covid pandemic has brought the general government deficit to 8.6 per cent of the GDP and public debt to 81.6 per cent of the GDP by March 2024. Employing a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, it is estimated that reprioritising fiscal spending by targeting productive employment-generating sectors, embracing transition, and investing in digitalisation could lead to a decline in general government debt to 73.4 per cent of the GDP by 2030-31.

In contrast, the debt-GDP ratio is projected by the IMF to rise to 116.3 per cent in 2028 for advanced economies and to 75.4 per cent for emerging and middle-income countries.

* India’s financial sector is predominantly bank-based. In 2015-2016, the overhang of asset impairment in the wake of the global financial crisis was addressed through an asset quality review (AQR). A massive recapitalisation was undertaken during 2017-2022. The beneficial effects started to show up from 2018 — gross and net non-performing assets ratios declined to 3.9 per cent and 1 per cent, respectively, by March 2023, with large capital buffers and liquidity coverage ratios well above 100 per cent.

The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) has created the institutional environment for addressing stress in banks’ balance sheets. Macroeconomic and financial stability are providing the foundation for medium-term growth prospects.

* India is undergoing a transformative change leveraged on technology. The trinity of JAM – Jan Dhan (basic no-frills accounts); Aadhaar (universal unique identification); and Mobile phone connections — is expanding the ambit of formal finance, boosting tech startups, and enabling the targeting of direct benefit transfers. India’s Unified Payments’ Interface (UPI), an open-ended system that powers multiple bank accounts into a single mobile application of any participating bank, is propelling inter-bank, peer-topeer, and person-to-merchant transactions seamlessly.

* inflation in India is moderating after surging on multiple and overlapping supply shocks from the pandemic, weather-induced food price spikes, supply chain disruptions and global commodity price pressures following the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

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-Top News UAE News

‘Earth Day drives UAE’s circular Economy agenda’

The Minister of Climate Change and the Environment highlighted the UAE’s Circular Economy Policy 2021-2031, aimed at promoting sustainable management and optimal use of natural resources…reports Asian Lite News

Dr. Amna bint Abdullah Al Dahak Al Shamsi, Minister of Climate Change and the Environment, emphasised Earth Day’s importance as a key platform for raising awareness about reducing plastic use across society and economic sectors, reinforcing the UAE’s transition to a circular economy.

Al Dahak said, “This year’s Earth Day theme, ‘Planet vs. Plastic,’ raises awareness about the growing problem of plastic pollution in oceans, rivers, and the environment, posing a direct threat to human life and ecosystems. Over the past two decades, global plastic waste production has doubled. The UAE has been proactive in addressing this issue, enacting laws to restrict single-use plastic products and implementing policies to significantly reduce plastic pollution.”

The Minister of Climate Change and the Environment highlighted the UAE’s Circular Economy Policy 2021-2031, aimed at promoting sustainable management and optimal use of natural resources. By adopting innovative consumption and production methods, the UAE aims to protect the well-being of both present and future generations.

She emphasised that the Ministry of Climate Change and Environment collaborates with various federal and government entities via the UAE’s Circular Economy Council to amplify the private sector’s involvement in advancing the circular economy. The Council also aims to strengthen the ‘Scale 360’ initiative, in which the UAE is the first signatory globally. Additionally, she outlined the reduction of plastic imports, production, and usage as key objectives for the Council and the Ministry in the coming years.

Al Dahak concluded, “Raising public awareness about responsible plastic use is fundamental to mitigating plastic pollution. It’s part of our holistic approach to enhancing environmental consciousness and promoting eco-friendly practices throughout society. This effort is crucial in supporting the Ministry and related entities to achieve climate and environmental sustainability goals and to pave the way for a resilient future for the UAE.”

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-Top News Finance World

Kristalina Georgieva To Serve As IMF Chief For Second Term

The IMF Board commended Georgieva’s “strong and agile leadership during her term, navigating a series of major global shocks.”

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Friday selected Kristalina Georgieva to serve as IMF Managing Director for a second five-year term starting on October 1, 2024.

The board’s decision was taken by consensus, according to a statement by the coordinators of the Executive Board, Afonso S. Bevilaqua and Abdullah F. BinZarah.

The decision was made nearly a week after the coordinators announced that Georgieva, the IMF’s current Managing Director, is the only candidate for the position, Xinhua news agency reported.

“In taking this decision, the Board commended Georgieva’s strong and agile leadership during her term, navigating a series of major global shocks,” the statement said.

Georgieva led the IMF’s unprecedented response to these shocks, including the approval of more than $360 billion in new financing since the start of the pandemic for 97 countries, debt service relief to the Fund’s poorest, most vulnerable members, and a historic Special Drawing Rights (SDR) allocation equivalent to $650 billion, the statement noted.

Under her leadership, the Fund introduced innovative new financing facilities, including the Resilience and Sustainability Facility and the Food Shock Window.

It also secured a 50 per cent quota increase to bolster the Fund’s permanent resources and agreed to add a third Sub-Saharan African chair to the IMF Board.

“Looking ahead, the Board welcomes Georgieva’s ongoing emphasis on issues of macroeconomic and financial stability, while also ensuring that the Fund continues to adapt and evolve to meet the needs of its entire membership,” the statement said.

Georgieva, a national of Bulgaria, has been the IMF’s Managing Director since October 1, 2019.

Before joining the Fund, Georgieva was Chief Executive Officer of the World Bank from January 2017 to September 2019, during which time she also served as interim President of the World Bank Group for three months.

She previously served at the European Commission as Commissioner for International Cooperation, Humanitarian Aid and Crisis Response, and as Vice-President for Budget and Human Resources.

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Business Economy India News

Trade cautiously!

The week ahead has a trading holiday on Thursday, and would therefore see some profit taking on Wednesday as there is an extended break, with the holiday confined to India…reports Arun Kejriwal

The week gone by consisted of five trading sessions and markets gained on three of the five sessions.

On Friday, markets were up a tad with BSESENSEX up a mere 21 points while NIFTY was down 1 point. BSESENSEX gained 596.87 points or 0.81 per cent to close at 74,248.22 points while NIFTY gained 186.80 points or 0.84 per cent to close at 22,513.70 points. The broader markets saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 gain 1.14 per cent, 1.62 per cent and 2.12 per cent respectively. BSEMIDCP was up 3.84 per cent while BSESMALLCAP was up 6.64 per cent. The new highs on BSESENSEX was at 74,501.73 points while it was at 22,619 points on NIFTY.

Indian Rupee gained 10 paisa or 0.12 per cent to close at Rs 83.30 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones gained on two of the five sessions and lost on three. Dow lost 903.33 points or 2.27 per cent to close at 38,904.04 points. The US markets are worried about the FED not cutting interest rates in the immediate short term. With employment data and the economic indicators pointing to a roaring economy, one wonders whether a cut would be appropriate at all. Further, the concern about high inflation seems to have taken a back seat and the Central Bank is not too sure about the impact that a rate cut could do to contain inflation. This probably explains the sharp fall in the markets.

RBI decided to keep rates unchanged and believes that inflation is being tamed. While inflation is cooling off, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das ‘would like the elephant to return to the forest’. With the country in the midst of elections for the Lok Sabha, no one expected any rate cut this time around.

In primary market news, we had one listing and one issue opening and closing for subscription during the week. There is no issue expected during the coming week on the main board.

Shares of SRM Contractors Limited who had issued shares at Rs 210 listed on the bourses on Wednesday, April 3. The share debuted on day one at Rs 225 and closed at Rs 236.20, a gain of Rs 26.20 or 12.47 per cent. By Friday, the share lost some ground and closed at Rs 228.30, a gain of Rs 18.30 or 8.71 per cent.

Bharti Hexacom had tapped the capital markets with its offer for sale of 7.5 crore shares in a price band of Rs 542-570. The issue was subscribed 29.88 times overall with QIB portion subscribed 48.57 times, HNI portion subscribed 10.51 times and Retail portion subscribed 2.82 times. There were 6.16 lakh applications in all. The shares being offered in the IPO are by the Government who is selling half of its 30 per cent shareholding.

The week ahead has a trading holiday on Thursday, and would therefore see some profit taking on Wednesday as there is an extended break, with the holiday confined to India. The upside resistance for the markets would be the new highs made last week at 74,501 points on BSESENSEX and at 22,619 points on NIFTY. Support exists at the lows made at 72,416 and at 21,710 points. While these levels seem quite far away currently, they are good levels to fall back on if new long positions are to be initiated for the medium term.

Expect markets to trade with sharp and two-sided moves. There would be a lot of intraday movement and markets looking to decide a trend. In terms of FPI activity, it seems to be a mixed bag with them being buyers on some days and sellers on other days. Domestic institutions or funds have a continuous supply of flows from retail investors which makes them net buyers on more or less a continuous basis. The state of markets with their being at new highs, ensures a steady flow of new equity paper in the form of QIPs and OFS. This comes from promoters and PE investors and also ensures that appetite for new paper is continuously met. It also ensures that the supply-demand mismatch does not happen and causes markets to spike because of supply constraints.

The strategy for the week would be to buy on dips and sell on rallies. While the all-time highs are almost there, one needs to be cautious at these levels while maintaining a balance that if the same is crossed there could be a sharp up move as well. Caution needs to be exercised at the same time towards there being a stock rotation where different stocks move and markets remain around the same levels. Action in midcap and small cap space is again opening up and select counters from this space can be looked at. The first of the IT results would be declared by TCS on April 12. Hopefully, this would set the trend.

In conclusion, while things look rosy and promising, it’s that time in the markets where one needs to be extra careful where a reversal also can happen any time.

Trade cautiously.

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-Top News Arab News Economy

OPEC+ sticks to current output policy

The JMMC stated that participating countries with outstanding overproduced volumes for the months of January, February and March 2024, will submit their detailed compensation plans to the OPEC Secretariat by 30th April 2024…reports Asian Lite News

The participants of the 53rd Meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, agreed to keep current oil production levels unchanged.

During the meeting which took place via videoconference today, the JMMC reviewed the crude oil production data for the months of January and February 2024, noting to the high conformity for participating OPEC and non-OPEC countries of the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC).

The Committee welcomed the Republic of Iraq and the Republic of Kazakhstan pledge to achieve full conformity as well as compensate for overproduction. The Committee also welcomed the announcement by the Russian Federation that its voluntary adjustments in the second quarter of 2024 will be based on production instead of exports.

The JMMC stated that participating countries with outstanding overproduced volumes for the months of January, February and March 2024, will submit their detailed compensation plans to the OPEC Secretariat by 30th April 2024.

The Committee noted that it will continue to monitor the conformity of the production adjustments decided upon at the 35th ONOMM held on 4th June 2023, and the additional voluntary production adjustments announced by some participating OPEC and participating non-OPEC countries in April 2023, and the subsequent adjustments in November 2023 and February 2024.

The Committee further stated that it will continue to closely assess market conditions and noted the willingness of the DoC countries to address market developments and their readiness to take additional measures at any time building on the strong cohesion between OPEC and participating non-OPEC oil-producing countries.

The next meeting of the JMMC (54th) is scheduled for 1st June 2024.

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-Top News Arab News Saudi Arabia

MENA Environmental Law Conference in Oman Focuses on Sustainable Economy Goals

Held under the patronage of H.E. Prof. Mahad bin Said bin Ali Ba Awain, Minister for Labour of Oman, the conference featured a keynote lecture by H.E. Dr Abdullah bin Ali Al Amri, Chairman of Environment Authority, Oman...reports Asian Lite News

Hamad Bin Khalifa University’s (HBKU) College of Law collaborated with Sohar University and the Association of Environmental Law Lecturers in Middle East and North African Universities (ASSELLMU) to jointly host the 5th MENA Environmental Law and Policy Scholars’ Conference from February 19-20, 2024, in Sohar, Oman.

Organized under the theme “Environmental Law and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development: Legislation Towards a Sustainable Economy in the MENA Region,” the conference brought together leading environmental educators, administrators, and legal practitioners to exchange knowledge, experience, and learn from each other on how to advance the attainment of the SDGs in the MENA region by the global target date of 2030.

Through workshops and seminars, the participants highlighted national, regional, and international aspects of accelerating the SDGs, including the status of teaching and practice of environmental law and the green economy in MENA countries, as well as domestic and regional approaches to environmental law and practice.

Held under the patronage of H.E. Prof. Mahad bin Said bin Ali Ba Awain, Minister for Labour of Oman, the conference featured a keynote lecture by H.E. Dr Abdullah bin Ali Al Amri, Chairman of Environment Authority, Oman. Several prominent figures also gave conference keynote addresses, including Dr. Hamdan Sulaiman Al Fazari,Vice Chancellor, Sohar University, H.E. Dr. Leila Chikhaoui, Minister of the Environment of Tunisia; Patricia Mbote, Director of the Law Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP); Philipp Bremer,  Director of the Rule of Law Programme Middle East & North Africa, Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, and Professor Attiya Waris, United Nations Independent Expert on foreign debt, other international financial obligations and human rights.Speakers from HBKU College of Law included Dean Susan L. Karamanian,  Dr. Damilola S. Olawuyi, SAN, Professor of Law and UNESCO Chair on Environmental Law and Sustainable Development at HBKU, and Chair of ASSELLMU, and Tasniem Ahmed Elyass Hussain, third year Juris Doctor (J.D.) student and Research Fellow to the UNESCO Chair at HBKU. 

Speaking after the conference, Dean Karamanian noted: “The ASSELLMU conference at Sohar University was the 5th international conference organized by the College of Law  and ASSELLMU. Attendees came from Morocco, Iran, and many places in between. The support of Sohar University was outstanding, as faculty, students, and staff there welcomed international guests. The University venue enabled an open discussion about pressing issues related to environmental law.  We are deeply indebted to Sohar University and my colleague, Dr. Damilola Olawuyi, for their dedication to helping build and sustain a network of MENA legal academics and lawyers who are committed to improving capacity in environmental law.”  UNEP and SADER Legal Publishing sponsored the conference, while the UNESCO Chair on Environmental Law and Sustainable Development, HBKU, and the Rule of Law Programme Middle East & North Africa, Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung served as partners.“This year’s landmark conference has greatly highlighted the important roles of environmental education and research in accelerating the SDGs and  addressing the urgent ecological threats facing the world. As new and cleaner technologies emerge, a talented and environmentally-aware workforce will be required to leverage them in all key economic sectors.

We commend Sohar University for their exceptional commitment to education and innovation in this regard and we look forward to working with them and other partners in promoting environmental law education and implementation across the region.” said Dr. Olawuyi, SAN.A significant outcome of the conference was the official adoption of a work plan of environmental training and education which will include focused research in five thematic areas: Technology and the Green Economy; Business, Human Rights and the Environment; Environmental Dispute Resolution; Food, Agriculture and Water Security; and Energy and Natural Resources. A scientific committee was inaugurated to prioritize this mandate. ASSELLMU’s next conference is scheduled to be held in Saudi Arabia in 2025.HBKU’s College of Law continues to work closely with top-tier local and international partners to help build expertise and research capacity in Qatar and beyond. Carefully designed auxiliary programs reflect the College’s relevance to government and corporate leaders, locally and globally.

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-Top News UK News

Economy to bounce back, says Sunak

Pushed on rising mobile, broadband, and car insurance costs, Sunak acknowledged there were still “challenges”, but argued the UK was “in a far better place”…reports Asian Lite News

This year will “prove to be the year that the economy bounces back”, Rishi Sunak told after figures showed inflation fell to its lowest level in almost two and half years. “We have turned a corner after the shocks of the past few years,” he said. Figures earlier showed inflation dropped to 3.4% last month as price rises for food and eating out slowed.

But despite price rises slowing overall, housing and fuel prices continued to rise rapidly. The prime minister said things had started to look up.

“I do believe that at the start of this year we have turned a corner after the shocks of the past few years and we are in a new economic moment,” he added.

Asked if he saw green shoots of recovery for the country, Sunak said businesses and people were “seeing that things have turned.” During the prime minister’s premiership to date, households have continued to feel the pain of rising prices and higher borrowing costs, especially for mortgages, as the Bank hiked interest rates to try to slow down rapid price rises.

Inflation remains higher than the Bank of England’s 2% target and at the end of last year the UK slipped into economic recession. One of Sunak’s main pledges was to grow the economy.

Sunak acknowledged things still felt tough for people, but insisted fortunes for the UK economy were changing after being damaged by the Covid pandemic and energy and food price surges from the war in Ukraine in recent years.

Pushed on rising mobile, broadband, and car insurance costs, Sunak acknowledged there were still “challenges”, but argued the UK was “in a far better place than we were when I became prime minister because of our plan”.

He acknowledged “things still feel tough for lots of people”, but added “my job is to make sure that we’re helping, and that’s what our tax cuts do”.

Separately, the prime minister said he was “not interested in Westminster gossip” over plots to oust him. “What’s important is the future of our country and people’s financial security and the peace of mind that they rightly deserve and my job and what I am working every day to deliver is that peace of mind that there is a brighter future ahead,” he added.

The health of the UK economy is at the top of the political agenda, with the general election set to be called in the coming months and both major parties pledging to boost growth.

Labour’s shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves has vowed Labour will seek to bring about a “new chapter in Britain’s economic history”, telling the BBC on Tuesday that economic growth was “essential to do everything else that a Labour government would want to do”.

Earlier this month, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt set out the government’s tax and spending plans in his Budget, including a cut to National Insurance and an expansion of child benefit.

UK rent prices up 9%

The average cost of rent in the UK rose by 9% in the 12 months to February this year – the highest annual increase since records began in 2015.

There were price rises in all parts of the country, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). In England, London renters saw costs go up the most at 10.6%, taking average monthly rent in the capital to £2,035.

A government spokesperson said its Renters (Reform) Bill would give tenants and landlords a “fairer deal”. Average monthly rent increases across the UK ranged from 8.8% in England through to 10.9% in Scotland and 9% in Wales.

This meant tenants in each country paid an extra £104, £93 or £60 a month respectively.

Northern Ireland’s data lags behind the rest of the UK, with figures currently available up to the end of last year. The ONS reported a 9.3% increase in the country for the year to December 2023.

London – which saw the biggest increase overall – had the UK’s highest rent even before the latest inflation figures were published on Wednesday.

In England and outside of the capital, Bristol was the most expensive place to rent privately – costing £1,734 a month.

Meanwhile, average UK house prices fell by 0.6% in the year to January, though it marked a slower drop than the 2.2% annual fall recorded a month earlier.

There were price rises in all parts of the country, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). In England, London renters saw costs go up the most at 10.6%, taking average monthly rent in the capital to £2,035.

A government spokesperson said its Renters (Reform) Bill would give tenants and landlords a “fairer deal”. Average monthly rent increases across the UK ranged from 8.8% in England through to 10.9% in Scotland and 9% in Wales.

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-Top News UK News

‘UK has to get on war footing for economic growth’

Britain needs to be put on an economic “war footing” if it is to break out of a vicious cycle of low growth, the former prime minister Gordon Brown will say on Monday.

In a speech to the Institute for Government thinktank, he will call for the creation of a National Economic Council, jointly chaired by the prime minister and chancellor with a mission to deliver annual growth of 3%.

The former prime minister will say the Treasury must be fully committed to a growth strategy and not be allowed to retreat into a “comfort zone” in which it concentrates on balancing the books and reducing the national debt.

Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, said in his budget last week that the economy would soon turn the corner after the damage caused by the pandemic and the cost of living crisis.

But the Office for Budget Responsibility, the government’s spending watchdog, said the outlook for the economy “remained challenging” and Brown, prime minister during the 2008 global financial crisis, will say that the way Britain is governed needs to change if there is to be an end to 15 years of stagnation.

He will say: “The way we govern will have to be radically transformed – and government put on a war footing – if Britain is to break free from the vicious low growth, low productivity, and low wage cycle that has seen annual growth halve in the last decade, investment levels stagnate at levels far below our main competitors, the worst productivity performance – less than 0.5% a year – since the Industrial Revolution, and the deepest regional economic inequalities in western Europe.”

Labour’s last prime minister will propose his new National Economic Council should be jointly staffed by the Treasury and the Cabinet Office, working alongside a council of the nations and regions, and have the task of hitting a 3% growth target. Brown will say the economic council should have equal status with the government’s national security council, meeting at least once a week, and twice a week if necessary.

Brown will argue that higher growth can be achieved through an industrial strategy founded on green, digital and medical technologies, linked to an employment and anti-poverty strategy focused on better jobs, skills, and services.

Brown will say the lesson he learned in his time as chancellor and prime minister is that the Treasury needs to be at the centre of a growth strategy rather than seeing its powers hived off to a new economic department.

“A myriad of improvisations have been tried and failed to turbocharge British economic growth, from the ill-fated Department of Economic Affairs of the 1960s, the National Enterprise Board of the 1970s, and Mrs Thatcher’s anointing of Sir Alan Walters in opposition to Chancellor Nigel Lawson in the 1980s,” he will say.

“But for a growth strategy to work, the Treasury has to be at the centre of a coordinated framework of economic policymaking and implementation led by it and No 10 and which involves all relevant economic departments.”

Rachel Reeves, the shadow chancellor, has said achieving higher growth will be at the heart of a future Labour government’s economic strategy and has insisted this has to be built on sound public finances.

Brown will say that for his plan to work, the Treasury “has to avoid the temptation to retreat into its comfort zone”, namely as “a finance department with an almost exclusive focus on debt and deficit reduction – neglecting its wider responsibilities for delivering growth”.

Brown helped to orchestrate the rescue of the UK’s stricken banks in 2008 but the deep recession that accompanied the global financial crisis resulted in him losing the 2010 general election.

In his speech on Monday, he will argue that the subsequent shift to austerity under the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition helped explain the UK’s weak economic performance while the US instead focused on a focus to growth.

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Business Economy India News

UBS Hails Indian Economy

India’s GDP growth has been surprisingly positive, averaging above 8 per cent in the first three quarters of FY2024…reports Asian Lite News

India offers the best structural growth story among the large economies, global brokerage UBS said.

“Combined with political stability and supportive government policies, India remains in a favourable position and is the most preferred in our Asia ex-Japan asset class preferences among equities,” UBS said.

India’s GDP growth has been surprisingly positive, averaging above 8 per cent in the first three quarters of FY2024, UBS said.

“We expect this momentum to continue as cyclical recovery and structural improvements remain in play. That said, the current global conditions may cause growth to moderate. Even after factoring in any slowdown, we believe India could still deliver 7 per cent growth in FY2025,” UBS said.

“While India’s stock market valuation is one standard deviation above its 10-year average, we believe downside risks are manageable amid a supportive domestic macro and micro environment,” it said.

“Additionally, we believe the reversal of the rate cycle could be valuation supportive as the equity risk premium falls,” UBS said.

Recent shareholding patterns suggest the FPI ownership of India equities (BSE500 index) of 17.8 per cent remains at a decade low, while DII’s share has reached a record high of 14.3 per cent supported DII inflows.

The gap between the FPI and DII ownership has narrowed to just 3.5 per cent, which suggests that the dominance of FPI flows on Indian equities is shrinking.

“However, with FPI ownership at a decade’s low, we do not anticipate significant outflows from the current levels,” UBS said.

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-Top News Dubai Investment

Dubai Announces 20% Annual Tax On Foreign Banks

The Law specifies the principles governing the calculation of taxable income, tax filing and payments, procedures for the audit of tax filing, voluntary disclosure, and responsibilities and procedures related to tax auditing…reports Asian Lite News

In his capacity as the Ruler of Dubai, His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE, issued Law No. (1) of 2024 on taxation of foreign banks operating in Dubai.

The Law applies to all foreign banks operating in Dubai, including special development zones and free zones, with the exception of foreign banks licensed to operate in the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC).

According to the law, foreign banks are subject to a 20% tax on their annual taxable income. However, if these banks pay corporate tax in accordance with Federal Law No. (47) of 2022 on the Taxation of Corporations and Businesses and its amendments, the amount of corporate tax will be deducted from their total tax liability.

The Law specifies the principles governing the calculation of taxable income, tax filing and payments, procedures for the audit of tax filing, voluntary disclosure, and responsibilities and procedures related to tax auditing.

The law also outlines the rights of foreign banks and their branches licensed by the Central Bank of the UAE. It specifies the steps for notifying the results of the tax audit. Further, it allows the taxable entity to lodge objections with Dubai’s Department of Finance regarding the amount of tax or fines imposed on them, subject to certain conditions detailed in the law.

According to the Law, the Chairman of The Executive Council of Dubai will issue a decision on acts deemed as violations of this Law and penalties imposed for violations. The total penalties imposed should not exceed AED500,000. The fine will be doubled in case of repeat violations within two years up to a maximum of AED1 million.

This new Law applies to the tax year beginning after its enactment.

The Director-General of the Department of Finance will also issue the necessary decisions to implement the provisions of this Law, which will be published in the Official Gazette.

The new Law annuls Regulation No. (2) of 1996 or any other legislation that may contradict it. Decisions and memos issued to implement Regulation No. (2) of 1996 will remain in place till the issuance of new decisions that replace it.

Law No. (1) of 2024 on taxation of foreign banks operating in Dubai is effective from the date of its publication in the Official Gazette.

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